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非常時期還要公司買回庫藏股?
應保留現金在公司

賣股求談判?到底什麼邏輯?
股票都賣了,公司還會理你?

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老巴的二位經理人賣的
各管各的

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https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffett-berkshire-hathaway-sold-30-million-bny-mellon-stock-2020-4-1029081968

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold about $30 million worth of Bank of New York Mellon stock this week.
The billionaire investor's company flogged close to 860,000 BNY Mellon shares for about $35 each, according to a SEC filing published on Friday.
The move follows Berkshire's sale of nearly $390 million worth of shares in Delta Air Lines and Southwest Airlines last week.



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我更不懂老巴為何目前仍無動靜
未趁此次大跌進場大買?

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https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4466597

《華爾街日報》週五 (17 日) 報導,股神巴菲特左右手、高齡 96 歲的波克夏副董孟格 (Charlie Munger) 表示,在這輪新冠危機中,波克夏將採取保守投資策略。

2008 年金融危機大爆發,金融機構陷入空前危機,巴菲特對高盛和美國銀行等金融機構大舉入市抄底,所有人都在關注這次全球新冠疫情肆虐,股神是否會再次危機入市,然而這一切似乎不會太快發生。

美國監管文件顯示,波克夏近期大砍航空股,減持達美航空 (DAL-US) 和西南航空 (LUV-US),隨後還賣出紐約梅隆銀行 (BK-US) 持股,值得注意的一點是,金融股向來是股神鍾愛的類股。

這次新冠危機與 2008 年金融危機時的情況不同,孟格受訪時表示:「每個人都只是原地不動,受災企業高層向波克夏求助的電話並沒有響個不停。」

孟格解釋:「就航空業來說,他們不知道這到底是怎麼回事?這是他們前所未見的事件,他們的劇本沒寫到這種可能性。」

據最新統計,巴菲特旗下波克夏海瑟威持有 1280 億美元現金。

孟格說:「這次我們很保守。當有史以來最嚴重的颶風來臨時,我們就像一艘船的船長,只想著躲過這場風暴,寧願帶著大量流動資產 (Liquidity) 走出困境。」

國際貨幣基金 (IMF) 週二 (14 日) 公佈最新《世界經濟展望報告》 (World Economic Outlook),預估 2020 年全球 GDP 將萎縮 3%,恐將經歷 1930 年大蕭條以來最慘的經濟衰退。

孟格直言:「我們當然是正在經歷一場衰退,但美國政府止困的努力可能有助於避免長期的大蕭條。」

波克夏海瑟威 (BRKA-US)  將於 5 月 2 日召開年度股東會,預計將於 5 月 2 日左右發布第一季財報。

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感覺老巴是否鈍了?⋯⋯
Curry 發表於 2020-4-18 10:23
我也在觀察這件事。
投資的過程就在反覆執行一套投資原則,
如淑買貴賣,價格一到就會有動作,
應該越跑越順,不因年紀大而變鈍

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巴菲特賣光4大航空持股

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Berkshire's cash pile isn't huge in worst-case scenario, Buffett says
May 02, 2020 7:10 PM ETBerkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B)54 Comments
Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:BRK.B) (NYSE:BRK.A) cash position "isn't all that huge when you think about worst-case possibilities," Warren Buffett said during the annual meeting's question and answer section.
"We don't prepare ourselves for a single problem, we prepare ourselves for problems that sometimes create their own momentum."
The conglomerate had $137B of cash and Treasury bills on its balance sheet as of March 31, 2020.
Asked why he hasn't invested in any companies during the pandemic crisis like the company did during the financial crisis, Buffett said "we haven't seen anything attractive."
Furthermore, funding was a lot easier to get this time around.
"The Federal Reserve did the right thing and very promptly," Buffett said. "Companies got the chance to finance in huge ways in the last five weeks."
"Berkshire actually raised more money" recently,  although it didn't need it, he added.
Update at 7:12 PM: Regarding how Berkshire's operating companies are handling the pandemic environment, "Very few of our businesses have required funds," said Vice Chairman Greg Abel, who heads all operating businesses except for insurance.
Berkshire has advanced funds to the few of its businesses that did need them, he said.
7:22 PM: Some "very small" businesses that Berkshire owns may close as a result of the coronavirus-fueled downturn, Buffett said, declining to specify what kind of businesses might close.
7:28 PM: Two of three of Precision Castparts divisions are being hurt by the coronavirus lockdowns,  Abel said. "The defense part remains very sound and strong."
Meanwhile, the Precision Castparts business dealing with large body aircraft continues to adjust and keep in close communication with Boeing, he said.
7:32 PM: As for its Geico insurance unit, "the delay in payments has obviously increased" due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Buffett said. "That will be a significant cost to us."
For the insurance operations in general, "the amount of litigation is going to be huge. In the auto insurance field, which is our number one field, that's more definable," Buffett said.
The company doesn't have a big presence in commercial multiple peril insurance that might involve business interruption coverage. "We'll have claims, litigation that won't be as much as for other companies," he said.
7:44 PM: Berkshire operating companies haven't participated in any of the federal rescue programs, Abel said.
"When it comes to PPP loans, we're not aware of any of our businesses applying for them," he said.
7:55 PM: Arguing against the idea that the age of passive investing through index funds is over,  Buffett said, "I haven't changed my will, which directs my widow to have 90%" of assets in index funds.
8:16 PM: In relation to oil prices and its investment in Occidental (NYSE:OXY), "When you buy oil, you're betting on oil prices and with oil prices there's risk," Buffett said. "If this [oil] price stays where it is, there will be a lot of bad debts and loans."
"It will affect the banking industry to some degree."
8:26 PM: This current downturn may be testing the ability for the world to continue to operate with negative interest rates, he said.
8:34 PM: Buffett sees no chance of the U.S. defaulting  on its bonds. "If you print bonds in your own currency, things can happen to your currency, but you don't default."
9:10 PM: "The market system is marvelous in may respects but it need government... it's creative destruction" and for those who are destroyed, "it can be very brutal," Buffett said.
While he wouldn't come up with a new system, "I certainly don't want unfettered capitalism."
9:14 PM: Meeting ends.

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如何找到跑得比一般快的馬?

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這種馬都很有名,也沒幾隻。...
Acc_Fanp 發表於 2020-5-6 13:07
舉例

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如何知道FAAMG未來仍會跑得快?

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當然是找快馬,怎是慢牛呢?
只是如何知道它是快馬?

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常聽同學說只要馬跑得快,不用管貴淑
問他如何預知哪隻馬跑得快卻答不出來。

貴淑價就在衡量馬未來跑的速度,
想買快馬竟說不用管貴淑,
真是自打嘴巴,不知所云!

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原來你還是不懂


你應該不是唸商的
「經濟行為學、經濟生態學、經濟生物演化學、財務會計學」
沒有這些東西

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同學說FAANG跑得快,
我問如何得知?同學卻答不出來。

同學的毛病不在多元思考,根本無關
而是未一分證據講一分話

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同學喜歡引用名人的話,
若不懂如何具體落實,就是一句空話而已

這些都是空話:
「如果你發現自己身處在一艘不斷漏水的船上,與其花精力去補破洞,不如多花點精神想辦法換另一艘船。by 巴菲特」

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只是試著自己學習在投資上 ...
Acc_Fanp 發表於 2020-5-6 19:51
問題你聽不懂我在教你

不懂的東西不要亂扯,才不會暴露自己的無知

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背了老巴一堆名言,竟冒出一句「買股票不用管貴淑」,
把太祖葛拉漢的「保持安全邊距」都抛諸腦後,
真是冊讀到背後去了。

不要死背名言了,好好的讀巴班講稿20遍

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我買FB時billee桑曾表示「真高興,晚上也來買」,
怎麼今天就「暗頭仔吃西瓜,半暝仔反症」了




billee桑是一知半解,
我去年買FB的理由不是只有一句「買未來,賣過去」,
我解釋得很清楚,請複習一下

billee桑提出我買FB的例子,剛好證明本班不是一言堂,
如果有充分理由公司價值比盈再表算的還高,當然可以買進,
很歡迎主張買FAAMG同學也和我一樣提出充足理由









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一道數學題當然存在不同解法,但前提是邏輯要通。
若學生亂答題,老師可是會打X。

我的狀況是指正學生的錯誤,因而得罪學生,就被控是一言堂,
這正是現代老師難為之處,billee桑海涵啊!
#34-45 (billee持股分享)

同學提出「好的馬還是比一般馬優秀。貴的還是貴,淑的還是淑。沒變質繼續讓牠跑吧!」
我追問「如何找到跑得比一般快的馬?」,
因為只有這個前提成立同學的方法才是對,
這是開放的態度,怎會是一言堂?



我在3月24日股市最低點,舉世恐慌時大喊買進,
當時盈再表顯示普遍便宜,我進場買滿。

根據GDP理論明年第一季才是高點,而且可能創新高,
我看一些同學仍在遲疑,吆喝大家趕快上車,我錯了嗎?

判斷大盤的方法除了按盈再表,還有GDP理論,
billee桑請多複習講稿,謝謝!

這一陣子老是有同學來問我:
「老師和很多同學都買滿了,可是我的持股只有5成,還可以加碼嗎?」
請問我該回答可以或不可以?
若按billee桑的意思答不可以加碼,
如何解釋我買滿準備抱到明年第一季的事實,
我很想聽聽billee桑的高見,如何答才能「做人要從一而終,不要兩種解釋」?

差點忘了提醒billee桑,
罵我歸罵我,記得把持股比例拉高。




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